Later today the Giants face the Packers in what amounts to a "one and done" playoff game. If the Packers lose, their season is over. Giants win and they are in. And, while a Giants loss won't eliminate them, they would no longer be controlling their own destiny and would need a win and some help in the last game of the regular season next week.
Add to that the fact that Tom Coughlin's fate is also likely keyed to this game. With the sole exception of the heroic 2007 season, the Giants under Coughlin have had the tendency to peak early each season with December swoons. Then last week the Giants, essentially playing for the Divisional championship, watched as the Eagles scored 28 unanswered points in the final 7 and 1/2 minutes, overcoming a 21 point lead and stabbing the Giants in the heart. A monumental collapse which, if followed by a loss today, could spell the end of the Coughlin era.
It will be interesting to see how the team performs today after such a crushing defeat last week. Will they collapse and play timid scared football? Or will they play mean, aggressive, angry, pissed off football and take it out on the Packers? They certainly have the talent - the only question is if they have the mental toughness and emotional willpower.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Giants/Eagles - Winner Take All
Having dispatched Washington in dominating style, followed by a crazy detour to Detroit where they disposed of the Vikings, the Eagles come to town in a "winner take all" game for the Division Title. Meanwhile, after a four week absence, Steve Smith returned from his pectoral injury last week only to suffer a season ending knee injury. His loss is going to really hurt in the post season if the Giants make it that far.
To win this afternoon, the Giants will have to be clicking on all cylinders in all three phases of the game. And they cannot win this game if they don't win the turnover battle. Bradley, the Eagles middle linebacker is out which may help the Giants run game a bit, but I still think the Giants are out-matched for this contest. Having said that, although there have been some real "busts" during his tenure, Tom Coughlin teams are usually very well prepared with game plans that generally provide a realistic chance to win regardless of circumstances and opponent.
The Eagles are perhaps the best quick strike team I've ever seen and the Giants need to completely take away the big play. They need to keep the score close and win it in the fourth quarter. To do that they are going to need the defense to be all over Vick as they did the last time around - the offense to dominate on the ground - and win the field position battle in the kicking game. If they do all three things - and avoid turnovers - they will win this game. Fail in any one area and they almost certainly lose.
To win this afternoon, the Giants will have to be clicking on all cylinders in all three phases of the game. And they cannot win this game if they don't win the turnover battle. Bradley, the Eagles middle linebacker is out which may help the Giants run game a bit, but I still think the Giants are out-matched for this contest. Having said that, although there have been some real "busts" during his tenure, Tom Coughlin teams are usually very well prepared with game plans that generally provide a realistic chance to win regardless of circumstances and opponent.
The Eagles are perhaps the best quick strike team I've ever seen and the Giants need to completely take away the big play. They need to keep the score close and win it in the fourth quarter. To do that they are going to need the defense to be all over Vick as they did the last time around - the offense to dominate on the ground - and win the field position battle in the kicking game. If they do all three things - and avoid turnovers - they will win this game. Fail in any one area and they almost certainly lose.
Sunday, December 05, 2010
Giants' Best Win of the Season
Last Sunday afternoon the Giants, bloodied and battered on offense, hosted a hot Jacksonville team in a game they had to win. The problem was finding a way to win a game in which they would almost certainly not generate any offense. After all, their offensive line was in tatters, missing their starting pro bowl center and his backup, as well as their starting pro bowl left tackle and his backup. Worse, the Giants went into the season without a blocking tight end, choosing to rely upon Shawn Andrews to fill that role, but injuries forced Andrews into a starting position on the line and then into a hospital bed. So the Giants must try to run behind an offensive line missing three key components. To add to the offensive woes the Giants were forced to add two street free agent wide receivers to the roster because both starting wide outs, Smith and Nicks, were likely to miss several games to injury.
So, the question was, if the Giants had no wide receivers to throw to, and no offensive line to block, how in the world were they going to generate enough offense to stay competitive? Indeed, I worried that they were unlikely to score more than 10 points and, therefore, the key to any victory would fall squarely on the shoulders of a healthy and dominant Giants defense.
So it was not a big surprise to find the Giants down 17-6 at halftime. What was surprising was that the Giants' offense had played surprisingly well, the offensive line, in particular. Manning was kept upright and the line had opened huge holes for Jacobs and Bradshaw. And although the failure to finish drives with touchdowns was disappointing, the reality behind the paltry six points was the lack of opportunities - the offense only touched the ball four times the entire half. It was the Giants defense that was the primary culprit. They couldn't stop the run and Jacksonville shoved it straight down their collective throats. The defensive performance was horrific and faced a cascade of well deserved boos as they trudged off the field at half time.
In the second half the defense finally played some football and Jacksonville would only score three more points the rest of the game. Players would later credit Tuck for a passionate half time motivational speech. Rolle would later criticize the fans for their uncalled for booing at half time, obviously believing he deserves a standing ovation at all times. One can only hope that the true reason behind the turnaround was the collective shame and embarrassment of every defensive player regarding the pathetic performance of the defense in a game that, heading in, was dependent upon their very best.
The defense rose up and the Giants would win 24-20. The defense finally stuffed the run and got after the QB. The game would end with three consecutive sacks after Jacksonville had a first and 10 at the Giants 29 yard line, the third sack resulting in the Giants recovery of a Garrard fumble. But it was the play of the offensive line that was the key to the victory. They played as good, if not better, than could have been expected had the starters played. And that fact has to provide comfort that the Giants have more than a fighting chance to keep their heads above water while waiting for the injured to return.
Today they face the Redskins in Giants stadium still without Smith of Nicks and still with the same patchwork offensive line. However, after the performance last week, they can, should, and must win this game.
So, the question was, if the Giants had no wide receivers to throw to, and no offensive line to block, how in the world were they going to generate enough offense to stay competitive? Indeed, I worried that they were unlikely to score more than 10 points and, therefore, the key to any victory would fall squarely on the shoulders of a healthy and dominant Giants defense.
So it was not a big surprise to find the Giants down 17-6 at halftime. What was surprising was that the Giants' offense had played surprisingly well, the offensive line, in particular. Manning was kept upright and the line had opened huge holes for Jacobs and Bradshaw. And although the failure to finish drives with touchdowns was disappointing, the reality behind the paltry six points was the lack of opportunities - the offense only touched the ball four times the entire half. It was the Giants defense that was the primary culprit. They couldn't stop the run and Jacksonville shoved it straight down their collective throats. The defensive performance was horrific and faced a cascade of well deserved boos as they trudged off the field at half time.
In the second half the defense finally played some football and Jacksonville would only score three more points the rest of the game. Players would later credit Tuck for a passionate half time motivational speech. Rolle would later criticize the fans for their uncalled for booing at half time, obviously believing he deserves a standing ovation at all times. One can only hope that the true reason behind the turnaround was the collective shame and embarrassment of every defensive player regarding the pathetic performance of the defense in a game that, heading in, was dependent upon their very best.
The defense rose up and the Giants would win 24-20. The defense finally stuffed the run and got after the QB. The game would end with three consecutive sacks after Jacksonville had a first and 10 at the Giants 29 yard line, the third sack resulting in the Giants recovery of a Garrard fumble. But it was the play of the offensive line that was the key to the victory. They played as good, if not better, than could have been expected had the starters played. And that fact has to provide comfort that the Giants have more than a fighting chance to keep their heads above water while waiting for the injured to return.
Today they face the Redskins in Giants stadium still without Smith of Nicks and still with the same patchwork offensive line. However, after the performance last week, they can, should, and must win this game.
Monday, November 22, 2010
Giants Wounded and Teetering
The good news is that the Giants defense put up a heroic effort in a 24-17 loss in Philadelphia last night. The bad news is that the Giants fell to second place against their primary Divisional opponent and have now lost two inter-Divisional games in a row. Moreover, as well as the defense played, had the Eagles not misfired on some very big plays, the score (and the game) would have been much more one sided than it appeared.
For the third straight consecutive game the Giants defensive line was unable to generate any pass rush on its own. This time, however, Fewell created consistent pressure on Vick with well schemed overload blitzes that kept Vick both on the run and contained at the same time. But the offense, with no running game and five turnovers, was unable to turn in an equivalent performance.
The injuries to O'Hara, Diehl, and Smith are clearly having an impact. The question is whether the wounded can get back on the field in playing shape in time to turn things around with a very tough schedule remaining. If so, this remains a very talented team that can contend for the trophy. But the sand in the hourglass is rapidly slipping away and it could easily be too late if Smith and either Diehl or O'Hara don't return within the next two games.
For the third straight consecutive game the Giants defensive line was unable to generate any pass rush on its own. This time, however, Fewell created consistent pressure on Vick with well schemed overload blitzes that kept Vick both on the run and contained at the same time. But the offense, with no running game and five turnovers, was unable to turn in an equivalent performance.
The injuries to O'Hara, Diehl, and Smith are clearly having an impact. The question is whether the wounded can get back on the field in playing shape in time to turn things around with a very tough schedule remaining. If so, this remains a very talented team that can contend for the trophy. But the sand in the hourglass is rapidly slipping away and it could easily be too late if Smith and either Diehl or O'Hara don't return within the next two games.
Sunday, November 21, 2010
Vick Licks Chops After Kitna Embarrasses Giants
Dallas owner Jerry Jones finally put Wade Phillips out of his misery and promoted offensive coordinator Jason Garrett as the Cowboys prepared to take on the Giants at home in the Meadowlands. Meanwhile the Giants were coming off one of the most dominating performances in the history of the franchise. And Las Vegas installed the Giants as 14 point favorites. Of course that made for the perfect storm and the Giants didn't disappoint, losing to the Kitna led Cowboys by the score of 33-20.
Kitna had to have been chuckling to himself as he replayed the game in his mind as he drifted off to sleep later that night. Because, here was one of the most stationary, statue like quarterbacks you are ever going to see - one who hadn't played football since - well, since the early 1970's it seemed - and yet the Giants never laid a finger on him all night. Not a glove. Not a push. His uniform almost certainly didn't need to go to the laundry this week. And Kitna took full advantage and lit the Giants up like a Christmas tree.
Worse, the Giants also couldn't stop the running game. Jones averaged an incredible 6.83 yards per carry in the first half and Barber averaged just under 6 yards a carry for the game. The Giants defense was thoroughly dominated from beginning to end in every phase of the game.
Meanwhile, later that night the Eagles torched the Redskins 59-28 and, amazingly, that score makes it seem closer than it really was. Vick was virtually unstoppable and had one of the best games any quarterback has ever had in NFL history. And, amazingly, he has yet to throw an interception this year.
Making matters worse, Steve Smith remains out. Ramses Barden broke an ankle against Dallas and was put on IR. O'Hara and Snee remain out and Shawn Andrews didn't practice all week due to back problems.
In summary, the Giants defense has gone into a funk while the offense is in tatters. Meanwhile they are going into Philly to play the Eagles coming off one of the most impressive offensive performances in history. I expect it to be very ugly. The bigger question, however, is whether the Giants can get healthy and regroup in time for the return match in the Meadowlands in four weeks. That is the key game that will play a critical role in determining this team's success in January.
Kitna had to have been chuckling to himself as he replayed the game in his mind as he drifted off to sleep later that night. Because, here was one of the most stationary, statue like quarterbacks you are ever going to see - one who hadn't played football since - well, since the early 1970's it seemed - and yet the Giants never laid a finger on him all night. Not a glove. Not a push. His uniform almost certainly didn't need to go to the laundry this week. And Kitna took full advantage and lit the Giants up like a Christmas tree.
Worse, the Giants also couldn't stop the running game. Jones averaged an incredible 6.83 yards per carry in the first half and Barber averaged just under 6 yards a carry for the game. The Giants defense was thoroughly dominated from beginning to end in every phase of the game.
Meanwhile, later that night the Eagles torched the Redskins 59-28 and, amazingly, that score makes it seem closer than it really was. Vick was virtually unstoppable and had one of the best games any quarterback has ever had in NFL history. And, amazingly, he has yet to throw an interception this year.
Making matters worse, Steve Smith remains out. Ramses Barden broke an ankle against Dallas and was put on IR. O'Hara and Snee remain out and Shawn Andrews didn't practice all week due to back problems.
In summary, the Giants defense has gone into a funk while the offense is in tatters. Meanwhile they are going into Philly to play the Eagles coming off one of the most impressive offensive performances in history. I expect it to be very ugly. The bigger question, however, is whether the Giants can get healthy and regroup in time for the return match in the Meadowlands in four weeks. That is the key game that will play a critical role in determining this team's success in January.
Sunday, November 14, 2010
Giants Explode While Cowboys Implode
The Giants face the Cowboys this afternoon for the second time in three games. In the interim, Dallas fired their head coach while the Giants came home from Seattle with a victory for the first time since 1981. While Dallas is imploding, the Giants seem to be exploding. They didn't just beat Seattle, they destroyed them 41-7 - and the score understates the extent of the Giants' domination.
But, I always try to maintain a level of objectivity when assessing the Giants - something that isn't easy to do as a life long fan. And I see some potential rough seas on the horizon, perhaps starting as early as this afternoon. Today the Giants will play without three of last year's four Pro Bowl players - Diehl, O'Hara, and Smith. Worse, it isn't clear when any of the three will return to the starting lineup.
The Giants should clearly win this afternoon's game. Even with the injuries, they are the better team right now. But, the loss of Diehl, O'Hara and Smith clearly puts a chink in their armor and if I'm Dallas, I'm pushing all of my chips into an all out strategy singularly focused on that one crack. Dallas has the horses to bring the heat with Ware, Ratcliff and Spenser, and I would not be surprised if the Dallas strategy is to hit Manning early and often. When the heat is on, Manning, like all quarterbacks, goes to his "automatic" - the guy who runs precise routes and who you can trust to always be where he is supposed to be - Steve Smith. But today, if the Cowboys can pressure Manning, he won't have that guy - and will be less able to throw to a spot under pressure but, instead, will need the extra time to scan the field and locate someone.
Dallas is out of the playoffs and have nothing to play for but pride and job security next year. If the Giants can get up by 14 points early, the Cowboys are likely to fold like a cheap shirt. And if I'm Dallas, I know the only way I win this game is to get my defense into the game early - and I do that by bringing everything but the kitchen sink at Manning from the very opening snap. If that is what they do, the good news for the Giants is their signing of Shawn Andrews, for he will be the key to protecting Manning and giving him the time to strike quick and put a dagger into the collective heart of the Dallas defense.
But, I always try to maintain a level of objectivity when assessing the Giants - something that isn't easy to do as a life long fan. And I see some potential rough seas on the horizon, perhaps starting as early as this afternoon. Today the Giants will play without three of last year's four Pro Bowl players - Diehl, O'Hara, and Smith. Worse, it isn't clear when any of the three will return to the starting lineup.
The Giants should clearly win this afternoon's game. Even with the injuries, they are the better team right now. But, the loss of Diehl, O'Hara and Smith clearly puts a chink in their armor and if I'm Dallas, I'm pushing all of my chips into an all out strategy singularly focused on that one crack. Dallas has the horses to bring the heat with Ware, Ratcliff and Spenser, and I would not be surprised if the Dallas strategy is to hit Manning early and often. When the heat is on, Manning, like all quarterbacks, goes to his "automatic" - the guy who runs precise routes and who you can trust to always be where he is supposed to be - Steve Smith. But today, if the Cowboys can pressure Manning, he won't have that guy - and will be less able to throw to a spot under pressure but, instead, will need the extra time to scan the field and locate someone.
Dallas is out of the playoffs and have nothing to play for but pride and job security next year. If the Giants can get up by 14 points early, the Cowboys are likely to fold like a cheap shirt. And if I'm Dallas, I know the only way I win this game is to get my defense into the game early - and I do that by bringing everything but the kitchen sink at Manning from the very opening snap. If that is what they do, the good news for the Giants is their signing of Shawn Andrews, for he will be the key to protecting Manning and giving him the time to strike quick and put a dagger into the collective heart of the Dallas defense.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
One of the All Time Greatest Games
I've been watching Giants football since the 1950's and I believe the Giants' defeat of the Dallas Cowboys two weeks ago was one of the greatest games in Giants' history. A nationally televised Monday night game, in Dallas, with the Cowboys season on the line. The Giants receive the opening kickoff and Manning throws two interceptions on the first two drives resulting in a stunningly quick 10-0 Dallas lead 6 minutes into the game.
Little did the millions of viewers know the game was over at that point. By half time the score was 24-20 Giants and Tony Romo had been knocked out of the game. The Giants totally dominated and literally ripped the throats out of the Cowboys, their owner, and their fans. All this despite 5 Giant turnovers together with a 93 yard Dallas punt return for a touchdown. The 41-35 final score, the result of two "garbage time" touchdowns during the last 5 minutes of the game, made it appear closer than it really was. It was not a close game. Dallas was physically, statistically, and emotionally dominated in every conceivable manner starting the moment the Giants took the field down 10-0.
It was a thrilling game and put a dagger into the heart of the most arrogant franchise in sports history. Few things in life could be much sweeter.
One would be the continued great play by the Giants themselves. They find themselves ranked 2nd in the league in overall defense and 3rd in overall offense. The defense is having a monster year shutting down the run and getting after the QB. And on the other side of the ball, Bradshaw was leading the league in rushing when the gun sounded Monday night while Jacobs has averaged over 5 yards a carry during the four game winning streak. Meanwhile, the passing game is almost unstoppable - except for that one Achilles heel - the 11 interceptions, 7 of which were tipped balls.
Suddenly the schedule no longer appears so daunting. Barring a major injury, the Giants should be favored in every game the rest of the year. They are unlikely to win them all, but which 2 or 3 they lose will, more likely than not, simply be a function of statistics than talent. At this point in their season, they need to stay healthy, correct the turnover issue, and focus on refining their play and carrying momentum into the post season. That may sound a bit brash, but what their play speaks for itself against some very good talent. There are only two things that will derail this train, neither of which is another NFC opponent: injuries or their own mistakes.
This afternoon they travel to Seattle where they last won almost 30 years ago in 1981. Seattle is a perfect 3-0 at home this year. But that is clearly a misleading statistic. They are suffering major injuries on both sides of the ball. Their QB is about to start the first game of his eight year NFL career. The Giants should dominate but they will need to start winning the turnover battles and tightening up their kickoff and punt coverage teams - and there is no better time to begin than this afternoon.
Little did the millions of viewers know the game was over at that point. By half time the score was 24-20 Giants and Tony Romo had been knocked out of the game. The Giants totally dominated and literally ripped the throats out of the Cowboys, their owner, and their fans. All this despite 5 Giant turnovers together with a 93 yard Dallas punt return for a touchdown. The 41-35 final score, the result of two "garbage time" touchdowns during the last 5 minutes of the game, made it appear closer than it really was. It was not a close game. Dallas was physically, statistically, and emotionally dominated in every conceivable manner starting the moment the Giants took the field down 10-0.
It was a thrilling game and put a dagger into the heart of the most arrogant franchise in sports history. Few things in life could be much sweeter.
One would be the continued great play by the Giants themselves. They find themselves ranked 2nd in the league in overall defense and 3rd in overall offense. The defense is having a monster year shutting down the run and getting after the QB. And on the other side of the ball, Bradshaw was leading the league in rushing when the gun sounded Monday night while Jacobs has averaged over 5 yards a carry during the four game winning streak. Meanwhile, the passing game is almost unstoppable - except for that one Achilles heel - the 11 interceptions, 7 of which were tipped balls.
Suddenly the schedule no longer appears so daunting. Barring a major injury, the Giants should be favored in every game the rest of the year. They are unlikely to win them all, but which 2 or 3 they lose will, more likely than not, simply be a function of statistics than talent. At this point in their season, they need to stay healthy, correct the turnover issue, and focus on refining their play and carrying momentum into the post season. That may sound a bit brash, but what their play speaks for itself against some very good talent. There are only two things that will derail this train, neither of which is another NFC opponent: injuries or their own mistakes.
This afternoon they travel to Seattle where they last won almost 30 years ago in 1981. Seattle is a perfect 3-0 at home this year. But that is clearly a misleading statistic. They are suffering major injuries on both sides of the ball. Their QB is about to start the first game of his eight year NFL career. The Giants should dominate but they will need to start winning the turnover battles and tightening up their kickoff and punt coverage teams - and there is no better time to begin than this afternoon.
Sunday, October 24, 2010
GIants Win 3rd Straight, Face Cowboys in Dallas
The Giants dispatched a vastly improved Detroit Lions last Sunday in very workmanlike fashion. It wasn't pretty, but they won the turnover battle and kept penalties to a minimum while Detroit shot themselves in the foot with huge penalties are key times in the game. For the third straight game in a row the Giants eliminated their opponent's run game and thereby freeing the defensive line to pin their ears back and fly to the QB. It is a pattern the Giants must duplicate in tomorrow's Monday Night match up against the Cowboys.
The media and pundits all insist Dallas is the best 1-4 team in recent memory. That Dallas has the best talent in the NFC. Amazingly many still believe the Boyz have a flicker of hope to complete the home field Super Bowl dream Jerry Jones set up by building a new stadium and following that up with the highest team salary in all the NFL. Dallas may win Monday Night but they won't be the NFC representative in the Super Bowl. Sorry Jerry, but that dream you purchased is already buried in the ashes of Wade Phillips' 1-4 start.
For the Giants, meanwhile, Monday night is the first of six inter-divisional games they play over the last ten games of the season. In their current position, maintaining their momentum with a solid performance is more important than the win itself. Of course, a solid performance should produce a win because the Giants are simply the better team on defense and offense - but special teams could be the difference maker should the Giants stumble. Based upon their performance thus far in 2010, the Giants run defense can be expected to shut down Felix Jones and Marion Barber. When they do, the Giants pass defense features a rejuvenated pass rush that will have Romo scrambling to make plays against a vastly improved secondary over 2009's edition. The Achilles heel remains linebacker and the Cowboys will almost certainly test the Giants with their tight ends.
When the Giants have the ball, the key is going to be the offensive line. Diehl and McKenzie are going to have their hands full and they've both struggled with speed rushers. Watch for the Giants to slow that speed with dumps to Bradshaw, Beckham, and Pascoe. The down field passing game is likely to be hindered with the injury to Hakeem Nicks regardless if he plays. With Nicks not a factor, Manningham is going to have to step up and make some big plays.
At the end of the day, the key to the game is going to be the same as last week - winning the turnover battle. Equally important in this game will be penalties. Dallas has been horrific when it comes to penalties and the Giants have to take advantage by playing a penalty free game. And, last by not least, the Giants cannot allow Bryant to have a big day on returns. If they play penalty free football with no turnovers and corral Bryant, the rest of the Giants game should be sufficient to produce a win in enemy territory.
The media and pundits all insist Dallas is the best 1-4 team in recent memory. That Dallas has the best talent in the NFC. Amazingly many still believe the Boyz have a flicker of hope to complete the home field Super Bowl dream Jerry Jones set up by building a new stadium and following that up with the highest team salary in all the NFL. Dallas may win Monday Night but they won't be the NFC representative in the Super Bowl. Sorry Jerry, but that dream you purchased is already buried in the ashes of Wade Phillips' 1-4 start.
For the Giants, meanwhile, Monday night is the first of six inter-divisional games they play over the last ten games of the season. In their current position, maintaining their momentum with a solid performance is more important than the win itself. Of course, a solid performance should produce a win because the Giants are simply the better team on defense and offense - but special teams could be the difference maker should the Giants stumble. Based upon their performance thus far in 2010, the Giants run defense can be expected to shut down Felix Jones and Marion Barber. When they do, the Giants pass defense features a rejuvenated pass rush that will have Romo scrambling to make plays against a vastly improved secondary over 2009's edition. The Achilles heel remains linebacker and the Cowboys will almost certainly test the Giants with their tight ends.
When the Giants have the ball, the key is going to be the offensive line. Diehl and McKenzie are going to have their hands full and they've both struggled with speed rushers. Watch for the Giants to slow that speed with dumps to Bradshaw, Beckham, and Pascoe. The down field passing game is likely to be hindered with the injury to Hakeem Nicks regardless if he plays. With Nicks not a factor, Manningham is going to have to step up and make some big plays.
At the end of the day, the key to the game is going to be the same as last week - winning the turnover battle. Equally important in this game will be penalties. Dallas has been horrific when it comes to penalties and the Giants have to take advantage by playing a penalty free game. And, last by not least, the Giants cannot allow Bryant to have a big day on returns. If they play penalty free football with no turnovers and corral Bryant, the rest of the Giants game should be sufficient to produce a win in enemy territory.
Sunday, October 17, 2010
Giants Come Up Big For 2nd Straight Win
For the second straight game the Giants' defense completely shut down the running game and applied pressure on the opposing QB. And this time the Giants' offense contributed a strong game leading to a 34-10 drubbing of the Houston Texans.
This was no small victory. Not only was Houston a good team, it was probably the most balanced offensive attack the Giants have seen. But, perhaps equally as important as the win, the continued strong play of the defense provides a real confidence boost. The Giants defense is starting to get its mojo back. The importance of team confidence cannot be overstated when it comes to success in football.
Later today they face an up and coming Detroit team. The Lions are no longer doormats and a game against Detroit no longer equates to an automatic "W". They are a much stronger team this year, stronger than their actual record shows. And the one thing that they have not yet demonstrated is the capability to win on the road. They are a team on a mission with something to prove and you know that every player in that locker room wants to get the monkey off their backs by finally winning an away game.
The Giants are the better team and they should clearly win the game. But this isn't Detroit of two years ago. This team is going to show up and play physical on both sides of the ball. More than anything else, the Giants can't give the game away with turnovers and stupid penalties. Because, if they make mistakes, this Detroit team will capitalize and put a quick end to the success and momentum the Giants have built over the past two weeks. And a loss would result in a different Giants team - a different confidence level - heading into Dallas next week.
So, the Giants should win but accomplishing that will require a change from what they've done so far this year ... cleaning up their act. They have to win the turnover battle and, preferably, accomplish that with zero turnovers of their own. And they have to avoid stupid penalties. If there was ever a game for Coughlin to impose his will and demand mistake free football, this is it. If they do that, they should win handily.
Prediction: Giants 27 Detroit 14.
This was no small victory. Not only was Houston a good team, it was probably the most balanced offensive attack the Giants have seen. But, perhaps equally as important as the win, the continued strong play of the defense provides a real confidence boost. The Giants defense is starting to get its mojo back. The importance of team confidence cannot be overstated when it comes to success in football.
Later today they face an up and coming Detroit team. The Lions are no longer doormats and a game against Detroit no longer equates to an automatic "W". They are a much stronger team this year, stronger than their actual record shows. And the one thing that they have not yet demonstrated is the capability to win on the road. They are a team on a mission with something to prove and you know that every player in that locker room wants to get the monkey off their backs by finally winning an away game.
The Giants are the better team and they should clearly win the game. But this isn't Detroit of two years ago. This team is going to show up and play physical on both sides of the ball. More than anything else, the Giants can't give the game away with turnovers and stupid penalties. Because, if they make mistakes, this Detroit team will capitalize and put a quick end to the success and momentum the Giants have built over the past two weeks. And a loss would result in a different Giants team - a different confidence level - heading into Dallas next week.
So, the Giants should win but accomplishing that will require a change from what they've done so far this year ... cleaning up their act. They have to win the turnover battle and, preferably, accomplish that with zero turnovers of their own. And they have to avoid stupid penalties. If there was ever a game for Coughlin to impose his will and demand mistake free football, this is it. If they do that, they should win handily.
Prediction: Giants 27 Detroit 14.
Saturday, October 09, 2010
Giants Defense Destroys Chicago
The Giants needed a confidence boost almost as much as they needed a win. Last Sunday night they got both. The Giants defense didn't just shut down Chicago's offense. They totally dominated them. Decimated them. Destroyed them. Nine sacks in the first half. The Giants sent Cutler to the showers and then proceeded to knock backup Todd Collins out of the game. Chicago couldn't run. Couldn't pass. And couldn't protect their QBs.
However, all was not perfect in Giants land. Far from it. The flip side is that the Giants offense was almost equally dominated by Chicago's defense. They finally kicked some life into the tires after half time, but concerns with the offense line and running game (i.e. Brandon Jacobs) remain. And special teams remain horrid.
But, at the end of the day, the Giants faced a well balanced team and dominated them. And did so without any offense of their own. Sunday afternoon they face the 3-1 Houston Texans, another well balanced team that will present another test for the Giants defense. Don't expect Matt Schaub to allow himself to become the punching bag Cutler did. He will take shorter drops and get the ball out quickly. WR Andre Johnson is legitimately one of the very best in the league. And the Giants will have to honor the run or else they will get run over by Adrian Foster, quietly putting up great numbers this year. Furthermore, former Giant Derrick Ward, who recently joined the Texans, will be anxious to show a thing or two to his former teammates. And on offense, the Giants' offensive line must control Mario Williams and Brian Cushing - against the pass and run.
This is a very evenly matched game. The Giants need to string some wins together if they are going to have any success this year. To do that, the defense needs to build off of last week's dominance and, first and foremost, totally shut down the Texan's ability to run the ball. That must be the primary goal. However, against the Texans, it won't be enough. They will also have to pressure Schaub and do it with their base package and only an occasional blitz. At the end of the day, I believe the Giants defense is better than Houston's allowing the Giants to walk away with back to back wins for the first time this season.
Prediction: NY 24, Houston 17
However, all was not perfect in Giants land. Far from it. The flip side is that the Giants offense was almost equally dominated by Chicago's defense. They finally kicked some life into the tires after half time, but concerns with the offense line and running game (i.e. Brandon Jacobs) remain. And special teams remain horrid.
But, at the end of the day, the Giants faced a well balanced team and dominated them. And did so without any offense of their own. Sunday afternoon they face the 3-1 Houston Texans, another well balanced team that will present another test for the Giants defense. Don't expect Matt Schaub to allow himself to become the punching bag Cutler did. He will take shorter drops and get the ball out quickly. WR Andre Johnson is legitimately one of the very best in the league. And the Giants will have to honor the run or else they will get run over by Adrian Foster, quietly putting up great numbers this year. Furthermore, former Giant Derrick Ward, who recently joined the Texans, will be anxious to show a thing or two to his former teammates. And on offense, the Giants' offensive line must control Mario Williams and Brian Cushing - against the pass and run.
This is a very evenly matched game. The Giants need to string some wins together if they are going to have any success this year. To do that, the defense needs to build off of last week's dominance and, first and foremost, totally shut down the Texan's ability to run the ball. That must be the primary goal. However, against the Texans, it won't be enough. They will also have to pressure Schaub and do it with their base package and only an occasional blitz. At the end of the day, I believe the Giants defense is better than Houston's allowing the Giants to walk away with back to back wins for the first time this season.
Prediction: NY 24, Houston 17
Sunday, October 03, 2010
Giants Lose At Home, Fall to 1-2
The Giants lost to the Tennessee Titans 29-10 last Sunday. Looking at the final score one would think the game was a complete blow out. But they would be wrong. The Giants completely contained the best running back in football until the game was already out of reach in the 4th quarter. And they outplayed Tennessee in every aspect of the game - except errors. The Giants were penalized eleven times, five of which were personal fouls and one in the end zone replacing a 40+ yard play with a safety and resulting TD after short field position for the Titans. Most critical of all the Giants turned the ball over three times, twice in the red zone. Throw in two missed field goals, one at a critical juncture, and you get a recipe for disaster.
That's the bad news. The good news is that the Giants demonstrated they were the more talented team and should have won the game. Thus last week's game went a long way towards answering the question which 12 months ago would have been unthinkable - is this an upper tier team in terms of talent?
One game - especially a loss - cannot, and will not, provide an answer. Only their play on the field as the season unfolds will provide the absolute answer. But, one clue can be found by scanning the remaining schedule:
4 Chicago
5 Houston
6 Detroit
7 Dallas
8 Bye
9 Seattle
10 Dallas
11 Philadelphia
12 Jacksonville
13 Washington
14 Minnesota
15 Philadelphia
16 Green Bay
17 Washington
None of the games can be considered "easy". Some jump out such as Detroit, Jacksonville and Washington. But Detroit has been playing some fierce football and Washington with McNabb seems a potential threat. The bottom line is that finding "easy" games on a schedule is really more a function of your strength rather than the weakness of the opponent. Thus, if this were 1986 or 2008 and we were viewing the remaining games on the Giants schedule, every game would look like a probable "win". The Giants were just that good. The fact this schedule seems difficult is a pretty good indicator of the relative strength of this team.
This team appears to have talent. They have a franchise QB, the best group of WR in team history, a offensive line that entering the 2009 season 12 months ago was widely accepted as one of the best in football, and a defensive line that has been stacked with big names and infused with high draft picks. But, until they actually start playing football as they did in the beginning of 2008, just how good this team really is will remain an open question. The one thing that remains clear to me is that this team is in a very fragile place. That happens when a team just doesn't seem capable of playing up to their talent level - which clearly this team has not done, dating all the way back to the last four games of 2008. If they lose tonight and then again next week, the wheels will come off this bus very quickly.
This team is at a cross roads. It is a team that either stands up and proves to itself just how good it really is and goes 10-6 or better this year. Or it is a team that totally collapses and goes 6-10 (or worse). I just don't see any middle ground. And tonight's game will go a long way towards providing an answer. While a win is important, the larger danger is that a loss puts them into a position of having to win in Houston because, if they lose four in a row, this team will collapse in onto itself and the season will be essentially over. They need a win tonight to keep themselves away from that precipice.
That's the bad news. The good news is that the Giants demonstrated they were the more talented team and should have won the game. Thus last week's game went a long way towards answering the question which 12 months ago would have been unthinkable - is this an upper tier team in terms of talent?
One game - especially a loss - cannot, and will not, provide an answer. Only their play on the field as the season unfolds will provide the absolute answer. But, one clue can be found by scanning the remaining schedule:
4 Chicago
5 Houston
6 Detroit
7 Dallas
8 Bye
9 Seattle
10 Dallas
11 Philadelphia
12 Jacksonville
13 Washington
14 Minnesota
15 Philadelphia
16 Green Bay
17 Washington
None of the games can be considered "easy". Some jump out such as Detroit, Jacksonville and Washington. But Detroit has been playing some fierce football and Washington with McNabb seems a potential threat. The bottom line is that finding "easy" games on a schedule is really more a function of your strength rather than the weakness of the opponent. Thus, if this were 1986 or 2008 and we were viewing the remaining games on the Giants schedule, every game would look like a probable "win". The Giants were just that good. The fact this schedule seems difficult is a pretty good indicator of the relative strength of this team.
This team appears to have talent. They have a franchise QB, the best group of WR in team history, a offensive line that entering the 2009 season 12 months ago was widely accepted as one of the best in football, and a defensive line that has been stacked with big names and infused with high draft picks. But, until they actually start playing football as they did in the beginning of 2008, just how good this team really is will remain an open question. The one thing that remains clear to me is that this team is in a very fragile place. That happens when a team just doesn't seem capable of playing up to their talent level - which clearly this team has not done, dating all the way back to the last four games of 2008. If they lose tonight and then again next week, the wheels will come off this bus very quickly.
This team is at a cross roads. It is a team that either stands up and proves to itself just how good it really is and goes 10-6 or better this year. Or it is a team that totally collapses and goes 6-10 (or worse). I just don't see any middle ground. And tonight's game will go a long way towards providing an answer. While a win is important, the larger danger is that a loss puts them into a position of having to win in Houston because, if they lose four in a row, this team will collapse in onto itself and the season will be essentially over. They need a win tonight to keep themselves away from that precipice.
Sunday, September 26, 2010
Giants Humbled by Indy
The fact the Giants lost to the Colts isn't a big deal. After all, a loss wasn't exactly unexpected, not even by a lopsided score (I predicted a 35-24 Colt victory - ** actually I predicted 35-17 on BBI on Fri but changed it to 35-24 in my Sun morning weblog post - I must have been getting enthused). But the Giants didn't just lose. They were completely taken apart by Indy. They were physically out muscled by a finesse team. It was a total deconstruction on both sides of the ball. The Giants were embarrassed and humbled - or at least they should have been. Days after the game Antron Rolle publicly expressed his shock that his fellow teammates seemed unconcerned and accepting of the loss. I'm not sure what's worse: the lack of togetherness demonstrated by Rolle expressing his thoughts publicly - or the substance of his attack.
The defense gave up huge yards on the ground as Fewell decided to dress only two defensive tackles and spent most of the first half in a 4-1-6 defensive scheme that the Colts readily attacked with the highest number of rushing attempts in the Peyton Manning era. Therefore, although the defense didn't stand tall last Sunday, it is difficult to use that as an indicator of future performance because (a) it was the Colts after all; and (b) Fewell stubbornly refused to adjust out of his single linebacker scheme until the game was already out of reach.
The greater concern is the Giants' inability to run the ball on offense. The offensive line is being manhandled physically and it appears they are no longer capable of being a running team. Worse, Brandon Jacobs just doesn't seem to be capable of getting it through his head that the sole reason for his NFL roster spot is the intimidation his unique size, power, and speed allows. For two years now Jacobs has talked about his speed and ability to juke and side step to make defenders miss. Those statements have always troubled me because they demonstrated a lack of understanding of what makes him unique. There are not many running backs in the history of the league that have had the ability to physically intimidate a defense. To be the physical aggressor and make defenders truly fear for their physical safety. Brandon Jacobs has that very rare ability. But, sadly, that unique gift appears to be going to waste because Jacobs doesn't "get it". Last week he attempted to string a run out wide and while running parallel to the line of scrimmage was tackled easily for a loss. Coughlin was furious (undoubtedly at Jacobs but almost certainly more so with the inability of the offensive line to block any more) and pulled Jacobs from the game. Jacobs, clearly frustrated, threw his helmet into the stands which fortunately didn't injure anyone but did later cost him a $10,000 fine from the league.
The bottom line is that it appears the Giants are not going to have a running game this year. And, although Eli Manning had a career year last year, the Giants are not the Colts. If the Giants fail to end the year as a top ten rushing offense, they are not making the playoffs in 2010. End of story.
Worse, last Sunday the offensive line was unable to provide any protection for Eli. Zero. Nada. Zip. Manning was sacked, hit, and under pressure on 100% of his throws. But, as worrisome as the pass protection failures were, any hopes for this season start and end with the ability to run the ball. Today the Giants get a real test in that regard. They face a very physical Tennessee Titan team that excels in football 101. Run the ball on offense and stop the run on defense. And Tennessee does both extremely well. I fully expect and anticipate the Giants' defense will have success in stopping Chris Johnson - at least controlling him sufficiently to win the game.
What is not clear, however, is whether the Giants offense can win its battles against this Tennessee defense. Based upon the first two games of 2010, I have my doubts. In fact, based upon what we've seen, dating back to last year, I believe it is pretty clear that the Giants cannot run against this Titans team - and that the only way the Giants running game can succeed is for the Giants to open up throwing to set up the run. Of course, that could be problematic if the offensive line can't protect Eli - but then again the Titans don't have Freeney and Mathis.
Obviously every game is important. At the end of the day, however, a win is a win, regardless of how they play. And a loss won't be catastrophic if the Giants answer the doubters with a great game on both sides of the ball and simply lose because of a turnover or quirky play or two. But if they lose because of continued problems on the offensive side of the ball (or if the defense surprises me and lets Chris Johnson run wild) - then the wheels on the bus can come off pretty quickly and this team can lose all confidence. I continue to believe the confidence of the team is pretty fragile and at a cross roads - they need a statement game on both sides of the ball to serve as a springboard to believe in themselves.
The defense gave up huge yards on the ground as Fewell decided to dress only two defensive tackles and spent most of the first half in a 4-1-6 defensive scheme that the Colts readily attacked with the highest number of rushing attempts in the Peyton Manning era. Therefore, although the defense didn't stand tall last Sunday, it is difficult to use that as an indicator of future performance because (a) it was the Colts after all; and (b) Fewell stubbornly refused to adjust out of his single linebacker scheme until the game was already out of reach.
The greater concern is the Giants' inability to run the ball on offense. The offensive line is being manhandled physically and it appears they are no longer capable of being a running team. Worse, Brandon Jacobs just doesn't seem to be capable of getting it through his head that the sole reason for his NFL roster spot is the intimidation his unique size, power, and speed allows. For two years now Jacobs has talked about his speed and ability to juke and side step to make defenders miss. Those statements have always troubled me because they demonstrated a lack of understanding of what makes him unique. There are not many running backs in the history of the league that have had the ability to physically intimidate a defense. To be the physical aggressor and make defenders truly fear for their physical safety. Brandon Jacobs has that very rare ability. But, sadly, that unique gift appears to be going to waste because Jacobs doesn't "get it". Last week he attempted to string a run out wide and while running parallel to the line of scrimmage was tackled easily for a loss. Coughlin was furious (undoubtedly at Jacobs but almost certainly more so with the inability of the offensive line to block any more) and pulled Jacobs from the game. Jacobs, clearly frustrated, threw his helmet into the stands which fortunately didn't injure anyone but did later cost him a $10,000 fine from the league.
The bottom line is that it appears the Giants are not going to have a running game this year. And, although Eli Manning had a career year last year, the Giants are not the Colts. If the Giants fail to end the year as a top ten rushing offense, they are not making the playoffs in 2010. End of story.
Worse, last Sunday the offensive line was unable to provide any protection for Eli. Zero. Nada. Zip. Manning was sacked, hit, and under pressure on 100% of his throws. But, as worrisome as the pass protection failures were, any hopes for this season start and end with the ability to run the ball. Today the Giants get a real test in that regard. They face a very physical Tennessee Titan team that excels in football 101. Run the ball on offense and stop the run on defense. And Tennessee does both extremely well. I fully expect and anticipate the Giants' defense will have success in stopping Chris Johnson - at least controlling him sufficiently to win the game.
What is not clear, however, is whether the Giants offense can win its battles against this Tennessee defense. Based upon the first two games of 2010, I have my doubts. In fact, based upon what we've seen, dating back to last year, I believe it is pretty clear that the Giants cannot run against this Titans team - and that the only way the Giants running game can succeed is for the Giants to open up throwing to set up the run. Of course, that could be problematic if the offensive line can't protect Eli - but then again the Titans don't have Freeney and Mathis.
Obviously every game is important. At the end of the day, however, a win is a win, regardless of how they play. And a loss won't be catastrophic if the Giants answer the doubters with a great game on both sides of the ball and simply lose because of a turnover or quirky play or two. But if they lose because of continued problems on the offensive side of the ball (or if the defense surprises me and lets Chris Johnson run wild) - then the wheels on the bus can come off pretty quickly and this team can lose all confidence. I continue to believe the confidence of the team is pretty fragile and at a cross roads - they need a statement game on both sides of the ball to serve as a springboard to believe in themselves.
Sunday, September 12, 2010
Giants Open Stadium & Season With 31-18 Win
As the game wound down it wasn't clear whether we were watching ping pong or football as the teams turned the ball over in a bizarre sequence of six straight possessions ending with turnovers. But, as I posted before the game, this was a critical game for the Giants for several reasons and, at the end of the day, they won, 31-18.
Despite the sloppy play, there were some big positives. First and foremost, the run defense was solid. Carolina is a running team, presumably one of the best. The Giants held them to 89 yards on 24 carries that included one run of 29 yards. The next longest run was 8 yards. This was a considerable improvement over 2009 and a very, very good sign. If they can be consistent and maintain it for the full season, the Giants will be competitive in most games without any of the blowouts witnessed in 2009.
Once Carolina fell behind and were forced to play catch up, the Giants demonstrated they have the horses to pound the QB, generating four sacks and knocking QB Matt Moore out of the game with a concussion with just over two minutes remaining. They also had three interceptions, all in the end zone, one of which was a fantastic play by safety Deon Grant, coming off his receiver and moving perhaps 20 yards laterally to leap in front of the receiver to make an acrobatic catch. The Grant interception came with the Giants playing three safeties, a scheme designed to shore up the run defense but which paid dividends big time with at least two (if not all three) interceptions coming with that scheme on the field.
On offense, Eli Manning had a great game and spread the ball around to a group of receivers that are quickly becoming one of the most difficult trios in the league to defend. Second year first round pick Nicks had a coming out party with three touchdown receptions. But it was the emergence of Mario Manningham that is probably the more significant development of this game. Most of the league already knew about Steve Smith and the potential of Hakeem Nicks. But Mario Manningham's four receptions for 86 yards (21.25 ypc) put the league on notice that the Giants have three legitimate receivers that warrant big time attention. The only negative in the passing game were the three interceptions, each coming off a tipped ball. Whether the throws were too high or they were balls that should have been caught, probably matters less than the fact the errors were (and will be ) correctable.
There were, however, some negatives and real concerns. In the short term, the loss of Boss could be huge, especially if he is forced to the sideline for an extended number of games. The concern is not the passing game but the loss of blocking in the running game. When Boss went down, the Giants suddenly looked like a junior high school team trying to run the ball. Of course, the running game wasn't exactly clicking on all cylinders before Boss got hurt so it is difficult to judge the extent to which his absence played a part. The Giants actually had negative rushing yardage for the game as of when they walked off the field at half time. And while the running game was better after some half time adjustments, it was still a far cry from the dominance of 2007/2008 and far from acceptable.
However, perhaps the larger, more long term concern, is with special teams. Both the punt and kick off coverage units were horrid yielding short fields to the Panthers throughout the game. And Matt Dodge certainly didn't help averaging a miserable 16 yards on his two punt attempts. But, if I'm Tom Coughlin, I'm not ready to jettison the struggling punter when the larger issue is the coverage units. Hopefully Dodge is a temporary problem which will work itself out. However the weak coverage units, an issue dating back several years now, is like an out-of-control fire about to burst into a complete conflagration. It is going to cost the Giants games if something isn't done quickly.
Questions with the offensive line also remain. The Giants starting five have more combined starts, by a wide margin, than any other offensive line in the league. However, is that a positive reflecting great experience or a negative reflecting an inability to infuse youth into the line? Certainly the loss of Will Beatty to a broken foot means any youth movement will be delayed until the second half of the season, at best. The coaching staff was apparently concerned enough about this issue that they chose to release linebacker Bryan Kehl, who received immediate interest from several other teams, rather than placing Beatty on injured reserve despite the fact Beatty likely won't be ready to play for another 6-8 weeks at the earliest.
Lastly, I have some unhappiness with the schemes called by Fewell. Yes, I love the three safeties. And I'm thrilled with the stout defense against the run. But I'm not a fan of his decision to rush four and keep seven in coverage on too many obvious passing downs, especially in the first half. This wasn't Peyton Manning the Giants were facing at QB. It was Matt Moore. And Moore demonstrated that he was clearly susceptible to being hurried into poor throws and decisions. I honestly can't fathom the repeated decision in the first half to rush only four, giving Moore the time to look over the field and pick his targets. And it hurt the Giants as Carolina marched down the field to score just before the first half ended. The Giants showed what their pass rush can do once Carolina was forced to play catchup and when the Giants got more aggressive and were able to pin their ears back and fly after the QB.
Tonight, however, the Giants face the real deal in Peyton Manning who is not going to wilt under pressure like Matt Moore. Unlike last week when they could (and should) have blitzed all game long, tonight the Giants face a QB who earns his living making blitz happy teams pay. Tonight the Giants are going to have to generate a rush relying on their front four and with well timed and disguised blitzes.
It would be nice to believe the Giants could win a low scoring game. But shutting down this Colts offense is a very difficult thing especially without generating multiple monster 8-12 minute time consuming drives on offense, which would be truly heroic, but doubtful, for this Giants team at this point in time. Therefore, as much as it would be nice to use the running game to keep Peyton Manning off the field, the role of the running game is likely to be more important in keeping the Colts pass rush honest to buy Eli more time. For, in the end, I believe the Giants only win tonight's game if Eli outscores Peyton. And, although I don't predict it, the funny thing is I think he can. Colts 35, Giants 24 in a fun game.
Despite the sloppy play, there were some big positives. First and foremost, the run defense was solid. Carolina is a running team, presumably one of the best. The Giants held them to 89 yards on 24 carries that included one run of 29 yards. The next longest run was 8 yards. This was a considerable improvement over 2009 and a very, very good sign. If they can be consistent and maintain it for the full season, the Giants will be competitive in most games without any of the blowouts witnessed in 2009.
Once Carolina fell behind and were forced to play catch up, the Giants demonstrated they have the horses to pound the QB, generating four sacks and knocking QB Matt Moore out of the game with a concussion with just over two minutes remaining. They also had three interceptions, all in the end zone, one of which was a fantastic play by safety Deon Grant, coming off his receiver and moving perhaps 20 yards laterally to leap in front of the receiver to make an acrobatic catch. The Grant interception came with the Giants playing three safeties, a scheme designed to shore up the run defense but which paid dividends big time with at least two (if not all three) interceptions coming with that scheme on the field.
On offense, Eli Manning had a great game and spread the ball around to a group of receivers that are quickly becoming one of the most difficult trios in the league to defend. Second year first round pick Nicks had a coming out party with three touchdown receptions. But it was the emergence of Mario Manningham that is probably the more significant development of this game. Most of the league already knew about Steve Smith and the potential of Hakeem Nicks. But Mario Manningham's four receptions for 86 yards (21.25 ypc) put the league on notice that the Giants have three legitimate receivers that warrant big time attention. The only negative in the passing game were the three interceptions, each coming off a tipped ball. Whether the throws were too high or they were balls that should have been caught, probably matters less than the fact the errors were (and will be ) correctable.
There were, however, some negatives and real concerns. In the short term, the loss of Boss could be huge, especially if he is forced to the sideline for an extended number of games. The concern is not the passing game but the loss of blocking in the running game. When Boss went down, the Giants suddenly looked like a junior high school team trying to run the ball. Of course, the running game wasn't exactly clicking on all cylinders before Boss got hurt so it is difficult to judge the extent to which his absence played a part. The Giants actually had negative rushing yardage for the game as of when they walked off the field at half time. And while the running game was better after some half time adjustments, it was still a far cry from the dominance of 2007/2008 and far from acceptable.
However, perhaps the larger, more long term concern, is with special teams. Both the punt and kick off coverage units were horrid yielding short fields to the Panthers throughout the game. And Matt Dodge certainly didn't help averaging a miserable 16 yards on his two punt attempts. But, if I'm Tom Coughlin, I'm not ready to jettison the struggling punter when the larger issue is the coverage units. Hopefully Dodge is a temporary problem which will work itself out. However the weak coverage units, an issue dating back several years now, is like an out-of-control fire about to burst into a complete conflagration. It is going to cost the Giants games if something isn't done quickly.
Questions with the offensive line also remain. The Giants starting five have more combined starts, by a wide margin, than any other offensive line in the league. However, is that a positive reflecting great experience or a negative reflecting an inability to infuse youth into the line? Certainly the loss of Will Beatty to a broken foot means any youth movement will be delayed until the second half of the season, at best. The coaching staff was apparently concerned enough about this issue that they chose to release linebacker Bryan Kehl, who received immediate interest from several other teams, rather than placing Beatty on injured reserve despite the fact Beatty likely won't be ready to play for another 6-8 weeks at the earliest.
Lastly, I have some unhappiness with the schemes called by Fewell. Yes, I love the three safeties. And I'm thrilled with the stout defense against the run. But I'm not a fan of his decision to rush four and keep seven in coverage on too many obvious passing downs, especially in the first half. This wasn't Peyton Manning the Giants were facing at QB. It was Matt Moore. And Moore demonstrated that he was clearly susceptible to being hurried into poor throws and decisions. I honestly can't fathom the repeated decision in the first half to rush only four, giving Moore the time to look over the field and pick his targets. And it hurt the Giants as Carolina marched down the field to score just before the first half ended. The Giants showed what their pass rush can do once Carolina was forced to play catchup and when the Giants got more aggressive and were able to pin their ears back and fly after the QB.
Tonight, however, the Giants face the real deal in Peyton Manning who is not going to wilt under pressure like Matt Moore. Unlike last week when they could (and should) have blitzed all game long, tonight the Giants face a QB who earns his living making blitz happy teams pay. Tonight the Giants are going to have to generate a rush relying on their front four and with well timed and disguised blitzes.
It would be nice to believe the Giants could win a low scoring game. But shutting down this Colts offense is a very difficult thing especially without generating multiple monster 8-12 minute time consuming drives on offense, which would be truly heroic, but doubtful, for this Giants team at this point in time. Therefore, as much as it would be nice to use the running game to keep Peyton Manning off the field, the role of the running game is likely to be more important in keeping the Colts pass rush honest to buy Eli more time. For, in the end, I believe the Giants only win tonight's game if Eli outscores Peyton. And, although I don't predict it, the funny thing is I think he can. Colts 35, Giants 24 in a fun game.
Out With the Old, In With the New
The Giants open their 2010 season in less than five hours. The first game of any season brings excitement and enthusiasm. Every team stands on equal footing at the starting line with equal chances, at least theoretically, at the ultimate prize.
However, for the 2010 Giants, this is not simply another opening day game. It has far greater meaning and significance. It is the inaugural game in their brand new stadium against the very same team that embarrassed them last December in the final Giants' game ever played in the old Giants Stadium. Despite some changes, this is largely the same defense that in 2009 gave up the 2nd most points in Giants' franchise history. Despite some heralded changes - Fewell replacing Sheridan and the free agent signing of Antrel Rolle - an undercurrent of uncertainty remains.
That undercurrent can quickly translate into a loss of confidence if the going gets tough and they stumble. Moreover, unlike last year, the Giants don't start the season against the dregs of the league. Next week they face the Colts in Indy, a game they are unlikely to win. Lose today and they are probably staring an 0-2 start in the face. And teams that lose the first two games of a season are, overwhelmingly, long shots to make the playoffs. Since the league went to 16 games in 1978, only 11% of teams were able to overcome an 0-2 start and make it to the post season.
More importantly, this is a game the Giants should win. It will also provide a good test of the team's primary failure a year ago - their inability to stop the run on defense. With the ever increasing reliance upon passing in the NFL, the link between stopping the run and rushing the passer is often overlooked by fans. A successful running game is important to a passing offense because it forces the defense to honor both run and pass at all times. The flip side - eliminate an opponent's running game - enables the defense to focus on an all out pass rush. In 2009 the inability to stop the run forced the Giants to honor both run and pass at all times, and was, in my view, the primary cause of the diminished pass rush we all witnessed.
Not surprisingly, Tom Coughlin has openly stated that stopping the run is the first and foremost first step that needs to be taken to correct the ills of 2009. The Giants will get a stiff first test today. Last year Carolina became the first team in NFL history to have two running backs exceed 1,100 yards in the same NFL season. Thus, the Giants' run defense is, perhaps, facing the most difficult test it will face all year in the opening game of the season. Their measure of success against the run today will go a long way towards answering the lingering questions from 2009.
The other hangover from 2009 is the running game on offense. There has been plenty of talk all week about Bradshaw's ascension to starter at running back. However, I suspect the switch may have more to do with the weakening condition of the offensive line, and the need for a quick cut back runner, than it does about Jacobs versus Bradshaw. At the end of the day, I continue to believe that if the Giants are going to successful in 2010, they will need the angry, mean Brandon Jacobs of 2007 and 2008, lowering his shoulder and intimidating defenders.
So, the Giants begin 2010 facing a very important first game. Lose, and they almost certainly go 0-2, leaving them statistical long shots to make the playoffs before the season has barely begun. Beyond winning, however, their run defense, which literally shamed the franchise last year, faces a very stiff test against one of the best running teams in the league. One thing is certain - the fortunes of the 2010 Giants will be in much clearer focus as of 4:00 this afternoon.
However, for the 2010 Giants, this is not simply another opening day game. It has far greater meaning and significance. It is the inaugural game in their brand new stadium against the very same team that embarrassed them last December in the final Giants' game ever played in the old Giants Stadium. Despite some changes, this is largely the same defense that in 2009 gave up the 2nd most points in Giants' franchise history. Despite some heralded changes - Fewell replacing Sheridan and the free agent signing of Antrel Rolle - an undercurrent of uncertainty remains.
That undercurrent can quickly translate into a loss of confidence if the going gets tough and they stumble. Moreover, unlike last year, the Giants don't start the season against the dregs of the league. Next week they face the Colts in Indy, a game they are unlikely to win. Lose today and they are probably staring an 0-2 start in the face. And teams that lose the first two games of a season are, overwhelmingly, long shots to make the playoffs. Since the league went to 16 games in 1978, only 11% of teams were able to overcome an 0-2 start and make it to the post season.
More importantly, this is a game the Giants should win. It will also provide a good test of the team's primary failure a year ago - their inability to stop the run on defense. With the ever increasing reliance upon passing in the NFL, the link between stopping the run and rushing the passer is often overlooked by fans. A successful running game is important to a passing offense because it forces the defense to honor both run and pass at all times. The flip side - eliminate an opponent's running game - enables the defense to focus on an all out pass rush. In 2009 the inability to stop the run forced the Giants to honor both run and pass at all times, and was, in my view, the primary cause of the diminished pass rush we all witnessed.
Not surprisingly, Tom Coughlin has openly stated that stopping the run is the first and foremost first step that needs to be taken to correct the ills of 2009. The Giants will get a stiff first test today. Last year Carolina became the first team in NFL history to have two running backs exceed 1,100 yards in the same NFL season. Thus, the Giants' run defense is, perhaps, facing the most difficult test it will face all year in the opening game of the season. Their measure of success against the run today will go a long way towards answering the lingering questions from 2009.
The other hangover from 2009 is the running game on offense. There has been plenty of talk all week about Bradshaw's ascension to starter at running back. However, I suspect the switch may have more to do with the weakening condition of the offensive line, and the need for a quick cut back runner, than it does about Jacobs versus Bradshaw. At the end of the day, I continue to believe that if the Giants are going to successful in 2010, they will need the angry, mean Brandon Jacobs of 2007 and 2008, lowering his shoulder and intimidating defenders.
So, the Giants begin 2010 facing a very important first game. Lose, and they almost certainly go 0-2, leaving them statistical long shots to make the playoffs before the season has barely begun. Beyond winning, however, their run defense, which literally shamed the franchise last year, faces a very stiff test against one of the best running teams in the league. One thing is certain - the fortunes of the 2010 Giants will be in much clearer focus as of 4:00 this afternoon.
Saturday, September 04, 2010
2010 Final Roster - For Now
If they make no changes, the opening day 2010 roster will look like this:
Offense (24)
Quarterbacks (2): Eli Manning, Sage Rosenfels,
Running Backs (4): Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw, D.J. Ware, Darius Reynaud
Fullbacks (1): Madison Hedgecock
Wide Receivers (6): Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, Hakeem Nicks, Ramses Barden, Victor Cruz, Duke Calhoun
Tight Ends (2): Kevin Boss, Travis Beckum
Offensive Linemen (9): David Diehl, Rich Seubert, Shaun O'Hara, Chris Snee, Kareem McKenzie, Will Beatty, Adam Koets, Shawn Andrews, Mitch Petrus
Defense (26)
Defensive Linemen: (9): Justin Tuck, Barry Cofield, Chris Canty, Mathias Kiwanuka, Osi Umenyiora, Rocky Bernard, Dave Tollefson, Jason Pierre-Paul, Linval Joseph
Linebackers (8): Jonathan Goff, Michael Boley, Keith Bulluck, Bryan Kehl, Clint Sintim, Chase Blackburn, Phillip Dillard, Gerris Wilkinson
Cornerbacks (5): Corey Webster, Terrell Thomas, Aaron Ross, Bruce Johnson, D.J. Johnson
Safeties (4): Antrel Rolle, Deon Grant, Kenny Phillips, Michael Johnson
Specialists (3)
Kicker (1): Lawrence Tynes
Punter (1): Matt Dodge
Long Snapper (1): Zak DeOssie
Offense (24)
Quarterbacks (2): Eli Manning, Sage Rosenfels,
Running Backs (4): Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw, D.J. Ware, Darius Reynaud
Fullbacks (1): Madison Hedgecock
Wide Receivers (6): Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, Hakeem Nicks, Ramses Barden, Victor Cruz, Duke Calhoun
Tight Ends (2): Kevin Boss, Travis Beckum
Offensive Linemen (9): David Diehl, Rich Seubert, Shaun O'Hara, Chris Snee, Kareem McKenzie, Will Beatty, Adam Koets, Shawn Andrews, Mitch Petrus
Defense (26)
Defensive Linemen: (9): Justin Tuck, Barry Cofield, Chris Canty, Mathias Kiwanuka, Osi Umenyiora, Rocky Bernard, Dave Tollefson, Jason Pierre-Paul, Linval Joseph
Linebackers (8): Jonathan Goff, Michael Boley, Keith Bulluck, Bryan Kehl, Clint Sintim, Chase Blackburn, Phillip Dillard, Gerris Wilkinson
Cornerbacks (5): Corey Webster, Terrell Thomas, Aaron Ross, Bruce Johnson, D.J. Johnson
Safeties (4): Antrel Rolle, Deon Grant, Kenny Phillips, Michael Johnson
Specialists (3)
Kicker (1): Lawrence Tynes
Punter (1): Matt Dodge
Long Snapper (1): Zak DeOssie
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Two Games Before Season Begins
I'm not a happy fan. I've been dealing with the ups and downs of pre-seasons most of my 58 years on this planet. I know all the platitudes... it's only pre-season ... it's only the first (or second) game ... they are not putting in their full packages and schemes ... they are holding out many starters who would normally be playing if the games were for real ... these are games played by players who won't be on any NFL roster come September ... blah blah blah.
All of that is true. But all of that is also completely beside the point. I'm disappointed. I've not seen anything that has me excited. I'm unhappy. It certainly has nothing to do with the scoring. And I'm certainly not worried about the play of the 2nd or 3rd stringers. And I realize it's difficult to make evaluations with so many injured players kept completely out of the games.
But - and this is a very big but - what I expect to see from these games is some inkling that the major issues of 2009 have been addressed. That 2010 will be completely different than 2009. I expect to see things that give me hope. And thus far I've seen nothing of the sort. Not even a glimmer. So, yes, it is only pre-season and maybe everything is fine. But on the other hand maybe not. That's the point. Thus far, the Giants' starters have not provided even the slightest reason to believe that they have turned the corner and that 2009 is in the past and that they have righted their ship.
It was, and remains, my opinion that the biggest problem of 2009 was the Giants inexplicable inability to stop the run. Stopping the run on defense is basic stuff. Football 101. Something that should be evident from even game one of any pre-season. And, based upon my eyes, they have been horrific against the run thus far, despite the platitudes thrown around by Carl Banks last evening. In game one the Jets gashed them up the middle and last night Pittsburgh continued the assault.
Coughlin correctly pronounced stopping the run as criteria number one for turning things around in 2010. And thus far, by my eyes, the Giants have failed miserably in that endeavor. So, yes, it's only pre-season. But I know this much. What I hoped to see was the Giants stuffing every single run attempt between the tackles. Instead what I've seen is a total failure in that regard. Does it matter? Maybe not. But one thing is for sure - they haven't given me any reason to believe they are going to be dominant against the run in 2010.
I'm less concerned about the other two critical failures of 2009 - the pass rush and the running game. The pass rush is too dependent upon schemes that are simply not going to be shown or put on display during a pre-season game. And the offensive line woes thus far make evaluating the running game impossible. Suffice it to say that neither area has me jumping out of my seat in joy - but I at least feel comfortable knowing there is a reason for that.
But, special teams, on the other hand, has to be a major concern. I don't know the statistics, but I have to believe the Giants ended 2009 towards the bottom of the NFL with respect to opponents starting field position after a kickoff. And I see very little evidence of improvement in 2010. Worse yet, it appears the Giants punting game will be worse - perhaps much much worse - in 2010. Football is all about field position and it appears likely the Giants will fight the field position battle with one hand tied behind their backs throughout 2010.
So, yes, it's "only the pre-season". But I know this much for certain. Their play thus far has left me disappointed and failed to generate any excitement. In fact, truth be told I can't recall any other pre-season in my 58 years that has left me more disappointed. I keep telling myself these are meaningless pre-season games, but all I know is that feeling fantastic about their play sure would have been a nice alternative.
All of that is true. But all of that is also completely beside the point. I'm disappointed. I've not seen anything that has me excited. I'm unhappy. It certainly has nothing to do with the scoring. And I'm certainly not worried about the play of the 2nd or 3rd stringers. And I realize it's difficult to make evaluations with so many injured players kept completely out of the games.
But - and this is a very big but - what I expect to see from these games is some inkling that the major issues of 2009 have been addressed. That 2010 will be completely different than 2009. I expect to see things that give me hope. And thus far I've seen nothing of the sort. Not even a glimmer. So, yes, it is only pre-season and maybe everything is fine. But on the other hand maybe not. That's the point. Thus far, the Giants' starters have not provided even the slightest reason to believe that they have turned the corner and that 2009 is in the past and that they have righted their ship.
It was, and remains, my opinion that the biggest problem of 2009 was the Giants inexplicable inability to stop the run. Stopping the run on defense is basic stuff. Football 101. Something that should be evident from even game one of any pre-season. And, based upon my eyes, they have been horrific against the run thus far, despite the platitudes thrown around by Carl Banks last evening. In game one the Jets gashed them up the middle and last night Pittsburgh continued the assault.
Coughlin correctly pronounced stopping the run as criteria number one for turning things around in 2010. And thus far, by my eyes, the Giants have failed miserably in that endeavor. So, yes, it's only pre-season. But I know this much. What I hoped to see was the Giants stuffing every single run attempt between the tackles. Instead what I've seen is a total failure in that regard. Does it matter? Maybe not. But one thing is for sure - they haven't given me any reason to believe they are going to be dominant against the run in 2010.
I'm less concerned about the other two critical failures of 2009 - the pass rush and the running game. The pass rush is too dependent upon schemes that are simply not going to be shown or put on display during a pre-season game. And the offensive line woes thus far make evaluating the running game impossible. Suffice it to say that neither area has me jumping out of my seat in joy - but I at least feel comfortable knowing there is a reason for that.
But, special teams, on the other hand, has to be a major concern. I don't know the statistics, but I have to believe the Giants ended 2009 towards the bottom of the NFL with respect to opponents starting field position after a kickoff. And I see very little evidence of improvement in 2010. Worse yet, it appears the Giants punting game will be worse - perhaps much much worse - in 2010. Football is all about field position and it appears likely the Giants will fight the field position battle with one hand tied behind their backs throughout 2010.
So, yes, it's "only the pre-season". But I know this much for certain. Their play thus far has left me disappointed and failed to generate any excitement. In fact, truth be told I can't recall any other pre-season in my 58 years that has left me more disappointed. I keep telling myself these are meaningless pre-season games, but all I know is that feeling fantastic about their play sure would have been a nice alternative.
Sunday, August 01, 2010
As 2010 Camp Opens Questions Linger
For the first time since I've been documenting my thoughts on the Giants, I've failed to post any analysis regarding the failures of 2009 and the needs for 2010. And the reason is straight forward. I don't have a clue why the 2009 team struggled so mightily last year. The run defense was perhaps the worst I've ever seen in the 50 years I've been a Giants fan. The vaunted pass rush was invisible. The offense lost its physicality and the running game was a shadow of its former self. The only thing that worked was the passing game, the one part of the team considered to be the weak link heading into the 2009 season. All of the purported strengths turned out to be horrendous failures.
But why? Without knowing the underlying cause, it isn't possible to design a solution. That was my struggle and my ensuing silence spoke volumes about my inability to latch onto reasons that made sense to me. Sheridan's firing made it easy to simply shift all the problems onto his shoulders. It sure would be soothing to believe that all the problems in 2010 were simply the fault of the defensive coordinator. For me, however, blaming Sheridan isn't an "analysis". How can any outsider truly analyze the actual impact of a defensive coordinator? Moreover blaming Sheridan simply ignores the self evident truth that Sheridan didn't miss a single tackle and it wasn't Sheridan who was consistently blocked without generating any pressure on the QB (and blaming him for the offensive woes is obviously ludicrous). I find it difficult, intellectually, to accept that some of the best football talent in the world suddenly lost their ability to tackle and pass rush because of a coach standing on the sidelines. Did he play a role? I have no doubt about it. But I am equally convinced he was not the primary cause of the 2010 failures. His presence may explain schemes (or lack thereof) but simply has nothing to do with the sudden inability of players to tackle or otherwise make football plays on the field.
What about injuries? There sure were a lot of them. On both sides of the ball. And a lot of players were recovering from major surgeries heading into the season. Obviously the 2009 team would have played better if every player had been 100% healthy throughout the season. However, I have great difficulty using injuries to explain the struggles the Giants were having during their initial 5-0 winning streak. The only part of the team consistently clicking during that streak was the passing game. They were not generating anything resembling a ferocious pass rush. The Giants run defense was horrendous - near the middle of the league overall and virtually at the bottom of the league in giving up runs of 20 yards or more. And they were not running the ball with authority (Jacobs was even "called out" on national TV by Goose for dancing and not lowering his shoulder - and as much as I can't stand the guy, he was right). The problems that would haunt the Giants throughout 2010 were clearly evident from day one and simply "hidden" by their 5-0 start assembled against the dregs of the league.
So, for me, I could not (and still do not) subscribe to the "blame everything on Sheridan" scenario nor do I find solace in the "blame it all on the injuries" explanation. And, since I didn't (and still don't) have any idea why the 2009 team struggled so mightily in the very areas that were the purported strengths of the team, I wasn't able to record my thoughts since I didn't have any. Worse, I haven't heard one solitary attempt by Giants management to explain what they believe went wrong which, I suspect, is because they are as perplexed as we all are.
S0, I am in the only mode that makes sense for me ... wait and see. I honestly don't have any sense of how good or bad the 2010 team will be. Except I can make some easy predictions:
1. The overall team will play better than they did in 2009. I say this simply based upon statistical probability, not because I think they discovered and corrected the problems of 2009. The Giants defense in 2009 was, statistically speaking, the 2nd worst performance by a Giants defense in the history of the franchise (almost 100 years). It is simply beyond comprehension to consider they could possibly play even worse in 2010.
2. The passing game will not enjoy the same success in 2010 as it did in 2009. If so, it will not be because of failures by Smith, Nicks, Manningham, Boss, or Eli. They continue to represent the best passing combination in Giants history and for that reason should be a force in 2010. Rather, the expectations of the fan base and media are very different heading into 2010 than they were heading into 2009 - and, as a result, the criticism will flow much more easily and much more quickly. More importantly, they are not going to surprise any teams this year. In 2010 defensive coordinators will spend much more time scheming against the Giants passing game than they did in 2009 (a show of respect) and they will have a much greater body of film evidence to work with that simply didn't exist last year.
Beyond that? I simply don't know. Most people I speak to tend to focus their hopes on a return to the Giants pass rush. They point to the plethora of talent across the defensive line, and correctly so. However, in my mind, the primary key to the success (or failure) of the 2010 Giants will hinge on the running game - on both sides of the ball. If the Giants have any hope of returning to the playoffs and any dream of winning another Lombardi in 2010, they absolutely must start by achieving top 10 status statistically in running the ball and defending against the run. Do that, and everything else maybe (likely) falls into place. The flipside is, failure to achieve either, is likely to result in a second straight season sitting at home when the playoffs begin.
Lastly, to document the Giants 2010 draft for future reference:
1. (#15) DE Jason Pierre-Paul, South Florida
2. (#46) DT Linval Joseph, East Carolina
3. (#76) S Chad Jones, LSU
4. (#115) LB Phillip Dillard, Nebraska
5. (#147) G Mitch Petrus, Arkansas
6. (#184) DE Adrian Tracy, William & Mary
7. (#221) P Matt Dodge, East Carolina
But why? Without knowing the underlying cause, it isn't possible to design a solution. That was my struggle and my ensuing silence spoke volumes about my inability to latch onto reasons that made sense to me. Sheridan's firing made it easy to simply shift all the problems onto his shoulders. It sure would be soothing to believe that all the problems in 2010 were simply the fault of the defensive coordinator. For me, however, blaming Sheridan isn't an "analysis". How can any outsider truly analyze the actual impact of a defensive coordinator? Moreover blaming Sheridan simply ignores the self evident truth that Sheridan didn't miss a single tackle and it wasn't Sheridan who was consistently blocked without generating any pressure on the QB (and blaming him for the offensive woes is obviously ludicrous). I find it difficult, intellectually, to accept that some of the best football talent in the world suddenly lost their ability to tackle and pass rush because of a coach standing on the sidelines. Did he play a role? I have no doubt about it. But I am equally convinced he was not the primary cause of the 2010 failures. His presence may explain schemes (or lack thereof) but simply has nothing to do with the sudden inability of players to tackle or otherwise make football plays on the field.
What about injuries? There sure were a lot of them. On both sides of the ball. And a lot of players were recovering from major surgeries heading into the season. Obviously the 2009 team would have played better if every player had been 100% healthy throughout the season. However, I have great difficulty using injuries to explain the struggles the Giants were having during their initial 5-0 winning streak. The only part of the team consistently clicking during that streak was the passing game. They were not generating anything resembling a ferocious pass rush. The Giants run defense was horrendous - near the middle of the league overall and virtually at the bottom of the league in giving up runs of 20 yards or more. And they were not running the ball with authority (Jacobs was even "called out" on national TV by Goose for dancing and not lowering his shoulder - and as much as I can't stand the guy, he was right). The problems that would haunt the Giants throughout 2010 were clearly evident from day one and simply "hidden" by their 5-0 start assembled against the dregs of the league.
So, for me, I could not (and still do not) subscribe to the "blame everything on Sheridan" scenario nor do I find solace in the "blame it all on the injuries" explanation. And, since I didn't (and still don't) have any idea why the 2009 team struggled so mightily in the very areas that were the purported strengths of the team, I wasn't able to record my thoughts since I didn't have any. Worse, I haven't heard one solitary attempt by Giants management to explain what they believe went wrong which, I suspect, is because they are as perplexed as we all are.
S0, I am in the only mode that makes sense for me ... wait and see. I honestly don't have any sense of how good or bad the 2010 team will be. Except I can make some easy predictions:
1. The overall team will play better than they did in 2009. I say this simply based upon statistical probability, not because I think they discovered and corrected the problems of 2009. The Giants defense in 2009 was, statistically speaking, the 2nd worst performance by a Giants defense in the history of the franchise (almost 100 years). It is simply beyond comprehension to consider they could possibly play even worse in 2010.
2. The passing game will not enjoy the same success in 2010 as it did in 2009. If so, it will not be because of failures by Smith, Nicks, Manningham, Boss, or Eli. They continue to represent the best passing combination in Giants history and for that reason should be a force in 2010. Rather, the expectations of the fan base and media are very different heading into 2010 than they were heading into 2009 - and, as a result, the criticism will flow much more easily and much more quickly. More importantly, they are not going to surprise any teams this year. In 2010 defensive coordinators will spend much more time scheming against the Giants passing game than they did in 2009 (a show of respect) and they will have a much greater body of film evidence to work with that simply didn't exist last year.
Beyond that? I simply don't know. Most people I speak to tend to focus their hopes on a return to the Giants pass rush. They point to the plethora of talent across the defensive line, and correctly so. However, in my mind, the primary key to the success (or failure) of the 2010 Giants will hinge on the running game - on both sides of the ball. If the Giants have any hope of returning to the playoffs and any dream of winning another Lombardi in 2010, they absolutely must start by achieving top 10 status statistically in running the ball and defending against the run. Do that, and everything else maybe (likely) falls into place. The flipside is, failure to achieve either, is likely to result in a second straight season sitting at home when the playoffs begin.
Lastly, to document the Giants 2010 draft for future reference:
1. (#15) DE Jason Pierre-Paul, South Florida
2. (#46) DT Linval Joseph, East Carolina
3. (#76) S Chad Jones, LSU
4. (#115) LB Phillip Dillard, Nebraska
5. (#147) G Mitch Petrus, Arkansas
6. (#184) DE Adrian Tracy, William & Mary
7. (#221) P Matt Dodge, East Carolina
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